SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Royal Antwerp | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Besiktas | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
50.95% ( -0.11) | 24.4% ( -0.05) | 24.65% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( 0.34) | 48.52% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( 0.31) | 70.65% ( -0.31) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( 0.09) | 19.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( 0.14) | 50.64% ( -0.14) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% ( 0.33) | 34.08% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( 0.35) | 70.77% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.65% |
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