SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Hatayspor | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Kasimpasa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Kasimpasa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Konyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Kasimpasa |
61.09% ( 0.33) | 22.66% ( -0.13) | 16.24% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( 0.15) | 51.87% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( 0.13) | 73.62% ( -0.13) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.17) | 16.55% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.67% ( 0.3) | 46.33% ( -0.29) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.19) | 44.92% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.13% ( -0.15) | 80.87% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 61.08% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 16.24% |
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