SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Samsunspor |
38.56% ( -0.05) | 25.81% ( 0.05) | 35.63% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( -0.24) | 49.38% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( -0.22) | 71.42% ( 0.21) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( -0.14) | 25.12% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% ( -0.19) | 59.82% ( 0.19) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.12) | 26.77% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( -0.15) | 62.05% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.56% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.63% |
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