Galatasaray boast a wealth of quality in their squad, and we think that they will prove too strong for their newly-promoted opponents who have struggled to readjust to life in the Turkish Super Lig after 11 years outside the top flight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.