We said: Galatasaray 3-0 Samsunspor
Galatasaray boast a wealth of quality in their squad, and we think that they will prove too strong for their newly-promoted opponents who have struggled to readjust to life in the Turkish Super Lig after 11 years outside the top flight.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.