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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
4 - 2
Samsunspor

Akturkoglu (7', 29'), Bardakci (42'), Icardi (67')
Nelsson (45+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Dimata (46'), Holse (60')
Cift (13'), Tait (50'), Bola (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gaziantep 0-3 Galatasaray
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-0 Istanbulspor
Sunday, September 3 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Galatasaray 3-0 Samsunspor

Galatasaray boast a wealth of quality in their squad, and we think that they will prove too strong for their newly-promoted opponents who have struggled to readjust to life in the Turkish Super Lig after 11 years outside the top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawSamsunspor
65.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 19.83% (0.00099999999999767 0) 14.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 51.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)42.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.8%12.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.86% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)40.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54%77.45% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 65.22%
    Samsunspor 14.94%
    Draw 19.83%
GalatasarayDrawSamsunspor
2-0 @ 11.03%
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 6.92%
4-0 @ 4.07%
4-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 3.1%
5-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 65.22%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 4.99%
2-2 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 14.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-3 Galatasaray
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Molde
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Molde 2-3 Galatasaray
Wednesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Trabzonspor
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Ljubljana
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-0 Galatasaray
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 2-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, August 27 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, August 21 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, August 13 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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