SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
54.74% ( -0.22) | 23.89% ( 0.08) | 21.37% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( -0.17) | 49.71% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.16) | 71.72% ( 0.16) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( -0.14) | 18.04% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% ( -0.25) | 48.94% ( 0.25) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( 0.04) | 37.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.44% ( 0.04) | 74.56% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 54.74% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 21.37% |
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