SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Hatayspor |
64.43% ( 0.73) | 20.34% ( -0.22) | 15.23% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( -0) | 44.08% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( -0) | 66.46% ( 0) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( 0.21) | 12.95% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.58% ( 0.43) | 39.41% ( -0.43) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.44% ( -0.68) | 41.56% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.95% ( -0.6) | 78.05% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 64.43% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.34% | 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.68% Total : 15.23% |
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