Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2022 at 6pm UK
Vefa Stadı
We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-1 Istanbulspor
There has been very little to choose between the sides so far this season, and both have become tougher to beat following difficult starts.
Istanbulspor have been stronger on the road, but home advantage will be a factor for Karagumruk in this local clash, so it is expected to be a close encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Istanbulspor |
53.92% ( -0.01) | 23.17% | 22.91% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( 0) |
| 55.06% ( 0) | 44.94% ( -0.01) |
| 32.7% ( 0) | 67.29% ( -0) |
| 83.4% ( -0) | 16.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.6% ( -0) | 46.4% ( -0) |
| 66.35% ( 0.01) | 33.65% ( -0.01) |
