Galatasaray will be looking to end a disappointing season on a positive note, but the home side are on a long unbeaten run, so we are finding it difficult to back Antalyaspor to lose. As a result, we are expecting the two teams to play out a low-scoring draw in their final match of the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.41) 
-0.53) 
