SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Besiktas | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 7 | Antalyaspor | 38 | 7 | 59 |
| 8 | Fatih Karagumruk | 38 | -5 | 57 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 38 | 10 | 53 |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 55.43% | 23.97% | 20.6% |
| Both teams to score 49.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.06% | 50.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% | 72.81% |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% | 18.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.72% | 49.28% |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% | 39.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.03% | 75.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 5.5% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.3% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.7% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.6% |
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