Derby encounters can be cagey affairs, and we expect that to be the case on Sunday, but with Fenerbahce hunting down a Champions League place, we think that their quality will shine through to give them the all-important victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 17.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Galatasaray
61.24%	21%	17.76%

Both teams to score 54.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.62%

42.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.22%

64.78%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.65%

13.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.76%

40.23%

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.62%

37.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.83%

74.17%

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 61.23%

Galatasaray 17.76%

Draw 21%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Galatasaray
2-0 @ 10.11% 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 6.68% 4-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.18% Total : 61.23%	1-1 @ 9.89% 0-0 @ 4.99% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21%	0-1 @ 4.91% 1-2 @ 4.87% 0-2 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.61% 1-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.76%