Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 64.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 15.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a BB Erzurumspor win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.