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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 10.30am UK
Kazim Karabekir Stadium

BB Erzurumspor
2 - 2
Karagumruk

Chahechouhe (17' pen.), Celik (63')
Ahmet Alkilic (26'), Omolo (49'), Novikovas (60'), Bassan (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sobiech (30'), Castro (53')
Eggen Hedenstad (59')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between BB Erzurumspor and Fatih Karagumruk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest BB Erzurumspor win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
BB ErzurumsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
34.34%25.5%40.17%
Both teams to score 55.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.81%48.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65%70.35%
BB Erzurumspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02%26.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68%62.32%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26%23.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12%57.88%
Score Analysis
    BB Erzurumspor 34.34%
    Fatih Karagumruk 40.17%
    Draw 25.49%
BB ErzurumsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.34%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.72%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.17%

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