Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.