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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Feb 20, 2021 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Kasimpasa
3 - 2
Karagumruk

Kiese Thelin (20'), Erdogan (59', 69')
Bistrovic (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roco (14'), Castro (80')
Bertolacci (24'), Altinay (89')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fatih Karagumruk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
37.25%25.43%37.31%
Both teams to score 56.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38%47.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18%69.82%
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97%25.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3%59.69%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01%24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35%59.65%
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 37.25%
    Fatih Karagumruk 37.31%
    Draw 25.42%
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 0.96%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.31%

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