Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
