Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 67.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
Result | ||
Besiktas | Draw | Ankaragucu |
67.72% ( -0.07) | 18.58% ( 0.06) | 13.7% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.94% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.65% ( -0.25) | 39.34% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.32% ( -0.26) | 61.68% ( 0.26) |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.33% ( -0.09) | 10.67% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.46% ( -0.2) | 34.54% ( 0.19) |
Ankaragucu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.26% ( -0.14) | 40.74% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.67% ( -0.13) | 77.32% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Besiktas | Draw | Ankaragucu |
2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.34% Total : 67.72% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.58% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 13.7% |
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