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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 4pm UK
UnionplatzHasan Doğan Milli Takımlar Kamp ve Eğitim Tesisleri

Besiktas
2 - 1
Ankaragucu

Ucan (40'), Aboubakar (55')
Masuaku (85'), Fernandes (88'), Welinton (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sowe (53')
Mujakic (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 0-0 Antalyaspor
Sunday, February 26 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Karagumruk
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Besiktas 2-0 Ankaragucu

Given that Ankaragucu have the second-best defensive record in the bottom nine, Besiktas are not expected to notch a high-scoring victory this weekend, but the hosts should not struggle to claim all three points on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 67.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawAnkaragucu
67.72% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 18.58% (0.058 0.06) 13.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (-0.25 -0.25)39.34% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-0.263 -0.26)61.68% (0.262 0.26)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)10.67% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.46% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)34.54% (0.194 0.19)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.145 -0.14)40.74% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.67% (-0.128 -0.13)77.32% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 67.72%
    Ankaragucu 13.7%
    Draw 18.58%
BesiktasDrawAnkaragucu
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 67.72%
1-1 @ 8.73% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.58%
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.75% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 13.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Besiktas 0-0 Antalyaspor
Sunday, February 26 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Besiktas
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Besiktas
Tuesday, January 31 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 3-0 Alanyaspor
Friday, January 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-2 Besiktas
Sunday, January 22 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 1-2 Besiktas
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Karagumruk
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Gaziantep
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 0-1 Ankaragucu
Monday, January 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 3-1 Ankaragucu
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-1 Kayserispor
Sunday, January 8 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Ankaragucu
Wednesday, January 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig


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