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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
0 - 2
Karagumruk

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diagne (45+1'), Borini (65' pen.)
Bertolacci (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Gaziantep
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Besiktas
Tuesday, January 31 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 0-2 Fatih Karagumruk

We believe that this match will be decided upon the greater attacking threat with Fatih Karagumruk carrying a lethal duo of Fabio Borini and Mbaye Diagne up top which will prove too much to handle for Ankaragucu. We also think that, despite having a poor defensive record, Fatih Karagumruk will collect only their fourth clean sheet of the season and will win this affair 2-0. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Fatih Karagumruk in this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawFatih Karagumruk
51.78% (0.438 0.44) 22.69% (-0.3 -0.3) 25.52% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 60% (0.912 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (1.265 1.27)40.16% (-1.264 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (1.294 1.29)62.53% (-1.294 -1.29)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (0.61200000000001 0.61)15.63% (-0.611 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (1.122 1.12)44.63% (-1.122 -1.12)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.569 0.57)28.88% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (0.698 0.7)64.76% (-0.69699999999999 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 51.78%
    Fatih Karagumruk 25.52%
    Draw 22.69%
AnkaragucuDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.121 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.132 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.096 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.78%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 25.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Gaziantep
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 0-1 Ankaragucu
Monday, January 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 3-1 Ankaragucu
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-1 Kayserispor
Sunday, January 8 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Ankaragucu
Wednesday, January 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-2 Umraniyespor
Tuesday, December 27 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Besiktas
Tuesday, January 31 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-2 Karagumruk
Sunday, January 22 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-2 Karagumruk
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-3 Konyaspor
Sunday, January 8 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 2-4 Karagumruk
Wednesday, January 4 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-1 Trabzonspor
Wednesday, December 28 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig


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