SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Besiktas |
29.02% ( 0.31) | 22.84% ( -0.08) | 48.14% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 62.57% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.89% ( 0.58) | 38.11% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.62% ( 0.62) | 60.37% ( -0.62) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( 0.5) | 25.36% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( 0.68) | 60.15% ( -0.69) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( 0.13) | 16.16% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.38% ( 0.24) | 45.62% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.02% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.14% |
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