Besiktas are expected to capitalize on Bodrumspor's poor away form and defensive frailties, and with the Black Eagles regaining momentum after their Turkish Cup win, their superior quality and home advantage should see them edge out a struggling Bodrumspor side in what is expected to be a hard-fought victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bodrumspor had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bodrumspor win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Besiktas in this match.
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