SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Fenerbahce |
33.74% ( -0.25) | 24.08% ( 0.5) | 42.17% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( -2.51) | 41.86% ( 2.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( -2.58) | 64.26% ( 2.58) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( -1.32) | 24.32% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( -1.91) | 58.7% ( 1.91) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( -1.15) | 20.06% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.71% ( -1.89) | 52.28% ( 1.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.51)2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.74% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.59)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.17% |
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