SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Besiktas |
30.94% ( -0.18) | 25.58% ( 0.25) | 43.48% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( -1.15) | 49.53% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( -1.04) | 71.56% ( 1.04) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.7) | 29.81% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( -0.85) | 65.9% ( 0.85) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.52) | 22.7% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( -0.78) | 56.36% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Besiktas |
| 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.94% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.48% |
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