Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.