Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.