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IB
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 28, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
PL

Istanbul
0 - 2
PSG


Crivelli (3'), Epureanu (49'), Topal (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kean (64', 79')
Kehrer (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawParis Saint-Germain
29.63%21.98%48.39%
Both teams to score 66.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.5%33.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.7%55.3%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33%22.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69%56.31%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.63%14.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.76%42.24%
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 29.63%
    Paris Saint-Germain 48.39%
    Draw 21.98%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.96%
1-0 @ 4.83%
2-0 @ 3.59%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 29.63%
1-1 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 6.75%
0-0 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-1 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 5.89%
2-3 @ 4.37%
0-3 @ 3.97%
1-4 @ 2.86%
2-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 1.92%
1-5 @ 1.11%
3-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 48.39%


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