Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 4, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
2 - 1
Man Utd

Ba (13'), Visca (40')
Skrtel (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Martial (43')
Tuanzebe (20')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.08%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Manchester United
32.04%	22.22%	45.73%

Both teams to score 66.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.65%

33.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.87%

55.13%

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.78%

21.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.88%

54.12%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77%

15.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12%

43.88%

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 32.04%

Manchester United 45.73%

Draw 22.22%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 7.31% 1-0 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.67% Total : 32.04%	1-1 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 6.88% 0-0 @ 3.23% 3-3 @ 2.23% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 8.87% 0-1 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 5.57% 2-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.62% 2-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.69% 3-4 @ 1.05% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.21% Total : 45.73%