Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.08%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
