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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Dec 12, 2021 at 4pm UK
Inonu Stadium

Besiktas
4 - 2
Kayserispor

Larin (45'), Batshuayi (84', 89'), Yalcin (90+6')
Saatci (35'), Larin (64'), Ozyakup (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thiam (38', 71')
Bulut (23'), Akdag (46'), Carole (85')

We said: Besiktas 2-1 Kayserispor

Despite their recent poor run of results, Besiktas have won the last five competitive home meetings against Kayserispor, and we think that they will continue that record with a narrow victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawKayserispor
65.41%20.17%14.42%
Both teams to score 49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04%44.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68%67.32%
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07%12.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62%39.38%
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.77%43.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.51%79.49%
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 65.4%
    Kayserispor 14.42%
    Draw 20.17%
BesiktasDrawKayserispor
2-0 @ 11.69%
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 6.69%
4-0 @ 4.08%
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.8%
5-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 65.4%
1-1 @ 9.59%
0-0 @ 5.59%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.17%
0-1 @ 4.69%
1-2 @ 4.02%
0-2 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.15%
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 14.42%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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