Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
