Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
