Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.