With a comfortable first-leg victory in the bag, Malmo will head into the midweek clash with sky-high confidence as they look to finish off the job. Sivasspor have staggered into the new season and we predict that their struggles will continue, with the Swedish outfit claiming another victory on Thursday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 36.3%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 31.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.4%) and 1-2 (6.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.75%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (13.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.