Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Besiktas
40.59% ( 7.17)	25.52% ( -0.55)	33.89% ( -6.62)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

1.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.62% (

2.47)

48.38% (

-2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48% (

2.21)

70.52% (

-2.21)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39% (

5.22)

23.61% (

-5.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.31% (

57.69% (

-7)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

-2.58)

27.34% (

2.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

-3.48)

62.79% (

3.48)

Score Analysis

Alaves 40.59%

Besiktas 33.89%

Draw 25.52%

Alaves	Draw	Besiktas
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 1.01) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( 1.2) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 1) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.95) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.49) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.52) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.46) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.59%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.68) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( -1.59) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.82) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -1.53) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.64) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.89) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.31) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.89%