SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 54.4%. A win for Pendikspor had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Pendikspor win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Pendikspor |
54.4% ( 0.29) | 22.8% ( -0.07) | 22.8% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( 0.08) | 43.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( 0.08) | 65.82% ( -0.07) |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% ( 0.13) | 15.89% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.89% ( 0.24) | 45.11% ( -0.23) |
| Pendikspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( -0.15) | 32.91% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% ( -0.17) | 69.48% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Pendikspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 54.4% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.8% |
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