Caykur Rizespor have been decent at home this season while Basaksehir have struggled on the road.
Due to lack of consistency from Atan's men this season, we fancy the home side to edge this contest.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.