SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
46.25% ( -0.03) | 26.54% ( 0) | 27.21% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% ( -0) | 55.18% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% ( -0) | 76.42% |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -0.02) | 23.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42% ( -0.03) | 58% ( 0.02) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% ( 0.02) | 35.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.69% ( 0.02) | 72.31% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.25% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.21% |
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