SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Pendikspor had a probability of 12.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.72%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Pendikspor win it was 1-0 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pendikspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
12.61% ( -0.65) | 19.21% ( -0.46) | 68.19% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.57% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( 0.48) | 44.8% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( 0.46) | 67.16% ( -0.45) |
| Pendikspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.11% ( -0.74) | 45.89% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.37% ( -0.58) | 81.64% ( 0.6) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( 0.47) | 12.1% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.35% ( 0.96) | 37.65% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pendikspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.14% Total : 12.61% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.21% | 0-2 @ 12.38% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 8.72% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 4.6% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 3.59% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.95% ( 0.13)1-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 68.18% |
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