Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Goztepe SK win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.