Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.