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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 at 5pm UK
Doganlar Stadium

Goztepe SK
2 - 3
Fenerbahce

Guilherme (34' pen., 63')
Ideye (60'), Nwobodo (65'), Mihojevic (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sosa (27' pen.), Aziz (43'), Pelkas (51')
Gustavo (41'), Bayindir (65'), Erkin (65'), Aziz (75')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Goztepe SK and Fenerbahce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Goztepe SK win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Goztepe SKDrawFenerbahce
27.65%25.08%47.27%
Both teams to score 53.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9%49.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83%71.17%
Goztepe SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58%68.42%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.46%
Score Analysis
    Goztepe SK 27.65%
    Fenerbahce 47.26%
    Draw 25.07%
Goztepe SKDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.58%
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.65%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-3 @ 4.89%
0-3 @ 4.29%
2-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.92%
0-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.26%


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