Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
