Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Goztepe SK win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.