Given the sides' very similar standings and seasons on the whole, this could certainly go either way, but we just give the edge to the visitors.
Goztepe will feel that they are superior to the newly-promoted side on their day, and, after a cruel narrow defeat to Galatasaray, they will be desperate to bounce back and move clear of the drop zone.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Giresunspor win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Giresunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Goztepe SK win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Giresunspor would win this match.
