Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
