Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.