Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.
