Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.