Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
