Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
