Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Genclerbirligi had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Genclerbirligi win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.