Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.