Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hatayspor in this match.
