Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.