Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
