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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
Apr 22, 2021 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium
IB

Kasimpasa
0 - 1
Istanbul


Serbest (31'), Sadiku (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chadli (36')
Duarte (90+2')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Istanbul Basaksehir.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
31.7%25.22%43.08%
Both teams to score 55.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31%47.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11%69.89%
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9%22.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54%55.46%
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 31.7%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 43.08%
    Draw 25.21%
KasimpasaDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 7.9%
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.7%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.27%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 9.47%
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 7.15%
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.08%

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