Both sides had draining outings in midweek, playing lower league opposition and going all the way to penalties, which may play a factor in Sunday's outing making it a low-scoring affair.
Istanbul Basaksehir, though, are in brilliant form and that could be the slight difference this weekend to help the visitors just edge this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
